The biggest winner of the North Korean nuclear test exposure
Only a small success of the North Korean nuclear test, China still has a lot of space operation
Success depends on details! Few Aspect In fact, senior military fans should be most concerned about the North Korean nuclear test.
First of all, there is not a uranium bomb? If so, the problem of North Korea building nuclear reactors irrelevant. Reactor plutonium plutonium bomb can be refined plutonium to do with nuclear waste. If a uranium bomb, the centrifuge on line, the reactor is no longer needed. North Korea's plutonium bomb test in the first two, but less successful, with a maximum equivalent of 4000 tons, the explosion is not entirely. We set off firecrackers the incomplete explosion called "bared flowers", bared sound, not an explosion. Remember, the atomic bomb must have the equivalent of 20,000 tons can be called successful explosion. The general success of the nuclear powers are starting from the equivalent of 20,000 tons, and then is enhanced, the development of the atomic bomb containing thermonuclear material to the hydrogen bomb. Finish this process, the hydrogen bomb play ripe, play thoroughly, in order to develop into a miniaturized hydrogen bomb, for example, from tens of tons of million-ton. The world's most state-of-the-art hydrogen bomb "adjustable", adjustable from one thousand tons to 30 million tons.
This means that the initial atomic bombings of less than 2 million tons level, then, can not be called a success.
The third nuclear test in North Korea is said to reach 7,000 tons, if so, then the Fengyun uranium bomb is still not successful.
The biggest surprise of the third nuclear test is not uranium shells to 20,000 tons, to not? This involves the DPRK nuclear test in the future also do not engage?
The best example is India, within a few days, a series of staged a nuclear test, and only reach the level of enhanced atomic bomb, the maximum equivalent of 60,000 tons, until now have not conducted a nuclear test. Why? Stage gradually increase in order to improve the level of need, this is not a short-term can be achieved. To put it plainly, needed every few years once again nuclear test, this political consideration too. First lesson from the 1964 atomic bombing of the 1990s last underground nuclear test, the end of the hydrogen bomb from the atomic bomb to the enhanced atomic bombs containing thermonuclear material to go from large-scale to the miniaturization of the whole process of combat nearly 30 years has truly mastered the miniaturization and combat nuclear weapons, India within a few days can be done?
Therefore, the number of India's nuclear weapons Pakistan iron multi (50 in India, Pakistan iron 90) is justified, made more useless, no means of delivery can throw out, we can not be exploded in your own home killing the enemy, right?
North Korea To this channel go head plutonium bomb this road leads nowhere, and a uranium bomb was exploded 700 kilotons, which is equal to just a small step. In order the miniaturization and combat, also need at least a few times or even more than ten times nuclear test. From this sense, the policy in favor of the denuclearization of the peninsula there are still a lot of space, but also have time to work.
Some would say that the nuclear test is simply not in China's interest, the best interest of China such as Iran, mouth shouting I want a peaceful use of nuclear energy, secretly engage in walking a fine line, and then open markets and China, China has standing The moral high ground to safeguard Iran's interests, but also affordable. The Yuriko face was full.
Take a look at North Korea, shouting nuclear test and also desperate I really do, China will not be able to stand on the moral high ground to the Korean interests, limited maintenance, if desperate to maintain North Korea, China would lose the credibility of the State, was everywhere in the international , if the West is standing on the international moral high ground to choose sides, which achieve the purpose of the United States to boycott if the maintenance of North Korea, will be needed before delivery to United States interests can, such as buying U.S. Treasuries again, Syria to let go of the Diaoyu Islands silence etc., in short, are hurt China's interests before.
Though not in line with China's interests in the North Korean nuclear situation in East Asia, China decompression, but it can help
Say Chinese final at the loss of self-interest and the Korean, but North Korea to do what it is? It is the delay in opening up the market to China, which China is good? China still wary?
Korean nuclearization do not meet China's interests, it can be said that any country has nuclear weapons are not in line with the interests of world peace, in addition to the Big Five, and certainly not in China's interest.
However, you want to see North Korea does not have nuclear age, the situation on the peninsula in line with China's interests? North Korea's nuclear weapons, the United States also took the lead in the Northeast Asia to take a hostile policy against the DPRK, why do it? Is it because of North Korea's Kim dynasty undemocratic? Not the reign of the United States, the Middle East so many chiefs not a hostile, why does always not to engage with North Korea to engage in peace and to make trouble normalization of relations? This is the trump card - Peninsula powder keg could not be easily dismantled fuze - just keep hostile policy with North Korea, the peninsula it is impossible to achieve peace, the United States re-ignite the fuse of the powder keg explosion of the peninsula at any time hold, it may at any time with this powder keg of China dragged the pace of development in China, may at any time interrupted. This is the fundamental of Americans Peninsula policy.
Thus, as long as the Americans do not want to change the powder keg of the peninsula explode at any time - that is, the US-DPRK normalization of relations between North Korea and China has always required of this policy, the peninsula even completely abandon its nuclear program, even back to the original non-nuclear state, the same does not conform to Chinese interests, or even threaten the interests of the Chinese, because the fuse of the powder keg grip in the hands of the Americans.
Some would say that the DPRK covered can be no nuclear weapons, if you call North Korea, China could send troops to protect North Korea, a second Korean War, and to win, North Korea did not have nuclear. This may be true, provide strategic protection from China to North Korea, no problem, but the problem is precisely this, because North Korea is China's lips and teeth, China must provide protection, so only in front of the United States to hold the powder keg of the fuze said, namely, China just can not stay out precisely in the U.S. against the DPRK had involvement in the Peninsular War, Is this in line with China's interests? But more in line with China's interests, and kidnapped anytime, anywhere with the Peninsular War in the United States, and the initiative is always held in the hands of the United States, and China is no initiative.
Some would say that China can direct the end of the Kim dynasty, change North Korea's present political, directly to foster a pro-North Korea. This is a big mistake, is it now the gold is not pro-business? Is the process of China to interfere in North Korea will be able not subject to the threat of the United States? Is re-establish the North Korean government, the United States no longer hostile to it? Precisely not the fundamental front, U.S. hostility toward North Korea, not because of North Korea's the Shenma Kim family dynasty, more than God horse ideology, political system, its fundamental essence is for you you how to change the North Korean regime, not a taste for the U.S.? And China? But risking the subversion of their own long-term non-interference in other countries set up the moral high point risking subversion after the danger of the chaotic situation of North Korean involvement in the Kim dynasty, not the slightest real benefits, but into even greater chaos in the Peninsula threat. Is this possible?
Since the peninsula nuclear-free does not work, the Kim dynasty China replaced is not OK, then, what it is in China's interests and the situation on the peninsula? How the situation on the peninsula is consistent with China's core interests? This is the crux of the matter.
Individuals that situation Peninsula powder keg is forever release fuse, this is the most in line with China's interests.
How to achieve this situation? North Korea directly surrendered to the United States, the Kim dynasty to abandon North Korea, South Korea reunification of the Korean American way, that all right? Obviously, this did nothing, which is unrealistic, for China, this is not as good as the powder keg of the peninsula to maintain the status quo is good. Well, we only have one way to go, that is, allowing the United States to to abandon hostile to the DPRK, and the normalization of US-DPRK relations to achieve peace on the peninsula, will eliminate the powder keg of the peninsula. United States to abandon its hostile to the DPRK, it is too difficult, discussed earlier over U.S. hostile North Korea is not because of North Korea itself, is for you to North Korea regardless of how to do that as long as the U.S. would like to take advantage of the peninsula a powder keg as the stay a means to to contain China, to abandon hostile Korea, DPRK-US normalization and peace on the peninsula, this is impossible to do things.
Americans can not do, how to do that? Only to force him to do, forcing Americans to give up the use of the powder keg of the peninsula as a means of stay policy of containing China. How can Americans forced him to do it? The old U.S. capital countries only recognize a principle - the cost is much greater than the profit can not do.
DPRK nuclear, although the surface is not in line with China's interests, was ready to accept it is to the best interests of China
Obviously, if North Korea does not have nuclear weapons, or the original North Korean state, then the the old U.S. against the DPRK cost far less than the interests of the Chinese can get dragged into the Korean War, the United States is on the outside, while the peninsula is almost Chinese inside. And North Korea has nuclear weapons, even with missile able to reach Alaska nuclear weapons when it? Cost ignite the powder keg of the peninsula in the United States has been far greater than North Korea's nuclear-free status, then Japan, Okinawa, Guam may have turned into the United States inside.
That is to say, as North Korea has nuclear missiles, and the force is growing, the United States ignited the powder keg of the Korean Peninsula are likely to pay the cost of also increasing, the cost of increasing ignite the powder keg of the peninsula in the United States the possibility of is getting smaller and smaller, until eventually become a waste license, the United States is no longer possible to expect to ignite the Peninsula powder keg to contain China. Then I am afraid it can only be forced to accept a permanent peace peninsula, and God Makin gold home half gross, so long as the United States was forced to accept a permanent peace in the peninsula, both were forced to admit that the the Peninsula tinderbox card can not curb China, what ideology, political system will no longer be a problem.
Many people see the North Korean nuclear weapons against China, and indeed we are neighboring countries nuclear adverse, however, do not see North Korea even without nuclear weapons, the situation in the present situation of the Korean Peninsula is also unfavorable to China around lay a subject to be detonated by the United States a powder keg, how can we benefit?
If able to return to the United States on North Korea to give up hostile permanent peace to the peninsula, then, not to mention North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons, to give up the long-range missiles, North Korea to abandon all military, to give up all weapons, or even abandon the Kim dynasty, nor not. Just North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons in exchange for the United States to give up the powder keg of the peninsula card? United States willing to give up? He will never be the country's capital in the United States only recognize a truth that is said earlier, the cost is much greater than the profit before do.
Peninsula issues, indeed passive, is a knot that can not be bypassed in China's development on the road, a side fuse of the powder keg in her hand beside the couch, dare to sleep? No way, how can not do anything, the only way forced Americans to surrender, to curry favor are impossible to directly interfere in the strategy backfire, so that China can do? How to ensure that the interests of China?
This is the reality, this is the root of the problem, rather than nuclear North Korean nuclear issue. North Korea's nuclear Never to become a nuclear weapons state, never to the possession of nuclear weapons and nuclear, but to a nuclear-free, even to perpetuate war and nuclear. North Korea's nuclear political nuclear rather than nuclear weapons to this point, from the number and frequency of the North Korean nuclear test, you can understand that, if North Korea's possession of nuclear weapons to become a world-recognized nuclear countries, India and Pakistan is the precedent for a week implosion five six times, it can be called in order to become a nuclear power and nuclear, a one-time cross the nuclear threshold the Shenma sanctions of the international community to condemn bin will once not recognize the nuclear status? That Koreans do? Squeezing toothpaste-like nuclear tests in order to become a nuclear weapons state? Time jumping beans, in fact, for the peace talks, the purpose is very clear, I am not trying to become a nuclear weapons state, and I just want peace without the threat of war. And the United States? Commitment to this is not right? Still not willing to destroy the powder keg of the peninsula to contain China card!
In summary, this is the nuclear issue of the Korean Peninsula fundamental, and by no means is what Kim is not Kim family dynasty, is by no means simple jeopardize the interests of China's interests, of course, will be damaged, and has been subject to threats Peninsula powder keg explosion, which not because of North Korea's nuclear and more than a change in the matter of the Korean government.
We can imagine that, even if North Korea does not have nuclear, there is no long-range missiles, the United States and North Korea may peace? North Korea has no nuclear, no missiles premise that if the United States ignited the powder keg of the peninsula, what will happen? Send troops or not to send troops? Sent troops to what will happen? Do not send troops then how? Our economic development when what will happen? The United States and what to pay and profit? We can imagine, if North Korea did not nuclear, not missiles, and they do not want to hit the United States, the North Korean government what shall we do? Surrender the peninsula to the US-led unified? As we will happen? Imagine if the Chinese team DPRK interference to send troops to replace the North Korean government, the lifting of the nuclear-armed North Korea, the situation in North Korea will become Chengsha Yang? The United States, South Korea, what will happen? And so on, not to mention generate social unrest, refugees, the various factions and so involved.
We need a lift powder keg mode forever on the Korean Peninsula, we need a permanent peace in Northeast Asia, this is in line with the long-term fundamental interests of China, we do for this benefit?
The American dream is completely broken, the situation in East Asia, China clinch a chip
Why the United States has been, not only will not dare to fight against North Korea, and are unwilling to disarm Peninsula powder keg? Why has maintained for nearly 60 years now the peninsula state of no war and no? This is the essence of the problem ah! This powder keg on the Chinese side, you do not know when it will explode, this is a threat, this is the greatest threat to China's interests!
So what North Korea is the most in line with China's interests? Not how well the relationship between North Korea and China, but how bad the relationship between the DPRK and the United States. Whether North Korea What a bastard, a American soldiers can not be across the military demarcation line of North Korea, North Korea is a good. In this way, the vast region from the Yalu River to the military demarcation line northeast China's firewall.
U.S. and South Korea have always wanted to annexation of Korea, and the final 62 years ago, MacArthur stationed themselves to dream of the Yalu River. North Korea's possession of nuclear weapons, this dream or hope of realization, after all, compared to the the Mei Han Youjiang big air superiority, and North Korea collapse of North Korea's ground forces through air strikes. Once the U.S. and South Korea to take the risk, launched the annexation of the Korean War, China inevitably forced to be involved again the Korean War, and again sent troops to aid North Korea. When North Korea's possession of nuclear weapons, the U.S. and South Korea want to force to annexation of North Korea's dreams are basically shattered. Although the DPRK's possession of nuclear weapons can not vote sent to the United States, but can deter the US-South Korean military forces, it 不敢越雷池一步. It can be said that North Korea's nuclear weapons to make a more solid barrier firewall of China's northeast.
Reasons to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons, the international community generally opposed to North Korea's nuclear test, and the different voices of opposition. Everything has two sides. North Korea's nuclear test is certainly not a good thing, the U.S. and South Korea, but in terms of big bad. The disillusionment US-ROK shouts.
With North Korea's possession of nuclear weapons, Iran may possess nuclear weapons. The United States will eventually have no alternative. However, nuclear weapons, Japan and South Korea, can only think about the dream, the United States will never be because of North Korea's possession of nuclear weapons, and allow Japan or South Korea to possess nuclear weapons unless the United States completely drained.
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