North Korea's nuclear blackmail China paid a heavy strategic consideration
North Korean nuclear test is the biggest negative impact on China gave Japan a chance to strengthen the combat readiness of the
Neutral agency, Beijing, February 13 (Commentator Qiao Xinsheng) from a formal point of view, North Korea has a million troops, but the majority of these troops equipped with light weapons, in a non-contact war useless . Therefore, North Korea in addition to being beaten, did not fight back. The war in Yugoslavia, the end of the last century has been fully aware of the Korean people, do not expect North Korea's armed forces on the ground to compete with the United States, the United States may simply will not use ground troops in South Korea dispatched fighter jets carried out air strikes all strategic objectives in North Korea may be completely destroyed. North Korea is the reason why the development of nuclear weapons, impractical and completely self embolden attempt to Korean citizens to show their military strength, and to strive for more international assistance.
North Korea's nuclear weapons the game has been a complete failure, no one will believe that North Korea's nuclear blackmail, no one is willing to take responsibility for North Korea's irresponsible behavior. The UN Security Council adopted resolution further sanctions against North Korea is the logical thing, North Korea is now the only way to do things, is in the country to further control their own people, allowing the regime to linger.
The reason why China repeatedly advised not to conduct nuclear tests in North Korea, because the Chinese have realized that such a strategy and tactics of the DPRK can not achieve the intended purpose. The United States will not be afraid of the nuclear threat of North Korea, South Korea is also not afraid of North Korea's nuclear war. Although the Korean mastered the manufacture of nuclear weapons technology, but the DPRK in a short period of time in order to produce a large number of nuclear weapons is almost impossible. Korea North Korea preemptive use of force against the United States will provide military protection to South Korea military confrontation between North Korea and the United States, the outcome already determined outside of the North Korean regime collapse unlikely that there will be other results.
The North Korean government has itself pushed to the cliff shore, with the implementation of Security Council sanctions resolution, the situation in North Korea will be more difficult. Imagine the sea blockade against the DPRK in the future, increasingly stringent air blockade will be temporarily closed the land border between North Korea and China and Russia, North Korea must rely on their own strength to survive this cold spring.
Now that the DPRK does not have a complete economic system, more complete military industrial system, North Korea in order to rely on its own forces out of the woods, is almost impossible. North Korea's advantage now lies firmly in the hands of the military regime, and the army for the ordinary people have absolute control. But if the army is not enough supplies, long-term in a state of combat readiness, then, within the army is bound to have problems. By that time, North Korea will happen to people imagine.
China should prepare for the worst. In addition to support for further sanctions against North Korea in the UN Security Council voted, should also be established in the north-eastern border the necessary protective measures. The best result is North Korea's civil strife, the influx of a large number of refugees in South Korea; worst outcome, civil strife, North Korea expelled under the North Korean army, a large number of refugees into China. China does not want North Korea to civil strife, but must do all kinds of preparations for North Korea's civil unrest. China should work together with the international community, the establishment of early warning mechanism in the Korean, Korean domestic disturbances, then the international community can immediately respond.
Overseas some observers believe that the United States and other countries may direct a military strike against North Korea to the terms contained in the resolutions of the UN Security Council. From the U.S. release of the wind, never give up efforts to overthrow the North Korean regime by force. However, for the United States to launch a large-scale war in Northeast Asia, may pay a heavy price. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that the United States as the year against Yugoslavia as their own joint strategic allies in Asia and Europe, the North Korean air strikes. China, as a permanent member of the UN Security Council, of course, do not want to see this situation, however, once the UN Security Council resolution, the Chinese government should take a detached attitude. In other words, North Korea must be enough lesson, but air strikes may be there will be a large-scale humanitarian disaster. The North Korean government may establish a human shield, desperate to protect the right to Jin Jiazheng. If this happens, then the Korean peninsula there will be a massive influx of refugees.
North Korea walked today completely only himself to blame. In a series of nuclear blackmail, China has paid a heavy price. China completely abandoned the North Korean regime does not exist, because North Korea is a sovereign and independent country. China and the DPRK friendly agreement has given a special responsibility, But China should at the same time by the relevant resolutions of the UN Security Council, unmistakably told the North Koreans, the Chinese do not want to accept any responsibility for the reckless behavior of North Korea. In other words, if North Korea does not change its ways, and promise not to conduct any further nuclear tests and rocket launchers, then China will no longer assume the obligation to protect against the DPRK immediately. By that time, North Korea must be left alone to face a military strike from the United States.
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